September Drought Forecast Map

SEPTEMBER 2019 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

Over the upcoming three-month period of July to September, temperatures are likely to be hotter than normal with near normal to below normal rainfall, based on the latest findings from the seasonal climate forecast model. Current and projected environmental conditions continue to point towards a warmer and dryer Caribbean, including Jamaica.

Therefore, Jamaicans should brace for an increase in heat stress-related impacts, frequent bush fires as well as reduced water inflows in our water storage facilities and reservoirs in the upcoming three-month season of July-September.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the findings from the models in the upcoming months so as to advise our stakeholders, especially farmers accordingly.

To view our 3D drought maps follow the steps listed below:

  1. Download all the files from our Dropbox link listed below.
  2. Download and install Google Earth on your PC*

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values
Near Normally Drying (40%tile) 0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile)

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile)

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values
Near Normally Wetness (60%tile) 0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness (70%tile) 0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile)

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile)

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile)

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more