May Drought Forecast Map

MAY 2019 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

As we look towards the upcoming three-months period, March to May, rainfall amounts as well as temperatures are likely to be near-normal to above-normal throughout the period based on the findings from our seasonal climate forecast models. Out of a total of thirty-two rainfall stations that were examined across the island, just over two third of these stations are likely to receive above average rainfall when compared to the long historical record.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the findings from the models in the upcoming months so as to advise our stakeholders, especially farmers accordingly.

To view our 3D drought maps follow the steps listed below:

  • Download all the files from our Dropbox link listed below.
  • Download and install Google Earth on your PC* 

Click Here To Download Our May 2019 Google Earth Drought Map

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values 
 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)  0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile)

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile)

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)  0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness (70%tile) 0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile)

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile)

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile)

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more