May Drought Forecast Map

MAY 2020 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

The forecast for the upcoming three-month period of March to May indicates that rainfall is likely to be near-normal to above-normal, while temperatures are expected to be above-normal but seasonally comfortable.

During the forecast period, the island will transition from the dry season to the early wet season. This near-normal to above-normal rainfall outlook should, therefore, be interpreted within context; that is since rainfall amounts have been below-normal in recent months, some sections of the island could experience further deficits in water availability. Effective management of this resource, such as conservation, rainwater harvesting and the prudent use of irrigation are some strategies which could prove advantageous throughout this period.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the situation and provide updates to our stakeholders.

To view our 3D drought maps follow the steps listed below:

  • Download all the files from our Dropbox link listed below.
  • Download and install Google Earth on your PC* 

Click Here To Download Our May 2020 Google Earth Drought Map

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values 
 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)  0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile)

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile)

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)  0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness (70%tile) 0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile)

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile)

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile)

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more