March Drought Forecast Map

MARCH 2019 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

As we examine the forecast for the upcoming dry season (January to March) as it relates to water availability. Our preliminary findings are indicating that most areas are likely to experience near-normal to above-normal rainfall with seasonally comfortable temperatures.

As we transition into what is considered the dry season, sections of north-central and north-western parishes that received below average amount based on accumulated rainfall total are likely to experience worsen drought or dry conditions by the end of March 2019.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the findings from the models in the upcoming months so as to advise our stakeholders, especially farmers accordingly.

To view our 3D drought maps follow the steps listed below:

  • Download all the files from our Dropbox link listed below.
  • Download and install Google Earth on your PC* 

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values 
 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)  0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile)

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile)

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)  0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness (70%tile) 0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile)

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile)

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile)

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more