June Drought Forecast Map

JUNE 2019 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

For the upcoming period April to June, rainfall amounts are likely to be near-normal to above-normal based on the findings from our seasonal climate forecast models. Through the period there was an increase in forecast confidence, with most stations likely to receive higher than normal rainfall with warmer temperatures, when compared with historical records.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the findings from the models in the upcoming months so as to advise our stakeholders, especially farmers accordingly.

To view our 3D drought maps follow the steps listed below:

  1. Download all the files from our Dropbox link listed below.
  2. Download and install Google Earth on your PC* 

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values 
 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)  0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile)

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile)

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)  0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness (70%tile) 0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile)

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile)

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile)

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more