March Drought Forecast Map

MARCH 2018 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

For the forecast period of January to March 2018, the models are indicating, a higher probability of near-normal (average) to above-normal rainfall over most areas of the island.

As we enter into what is considered our dry season the forecast is for a wetter than normal dry season with very little concerns for drought. Also, as we enter into the normally cooler months, the forecast from the computer models continues to indicate that temperatures over the period are likely to remain above normal.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the findings from the models in the upcoming months, so as to advise our stakeholders, especially farmers, accordingly.

To view our 3D drought maps use the following browsers with 3D plugin:

  1. Google Chrome or Mozilla Firefox
  2. Download and install Google Earth on your PC* 

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values 
 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)  0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile)

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile)

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)  0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness (70%tile) 0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile)

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile)

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile)

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more