June Drought Forecast Map

JUNE 2018 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

As we look at the upcoming three months period, April to June 2018, the seasonal forecast for temperatures and rainfall are likely to be near-normal to above-normal over most areas of the island.

The forecast confidence level for the period indicates that rainfall and temperatures are likely to be higher than normal with a reduced chance of drought especially over eastern parishes.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the findings from the models in the upcoming months, so as to advise our stakeholders: especially farmers, accordingly.

To view our 3D drought maps follow the steps listed below:

  1. Download all the files from our Dropbox link listed below.
  2. Download and install Google Earth on your PC* 

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values 
 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)  0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile)

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile)

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)  0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness (70%tile) 0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile)

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile)

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile)

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more