January Drought Forecast Map

JANUARY 2018 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

For the period of November 2017 to January 2018, the forecast from our computer model indicates, near-normal (average) rainfall over the island. The latest forecast from the computer models is indicating that some central and western parishes could receive normal to below normal rainfall during the period. Although there is no immediate concern for drought, the forecast indicates that some stations over western parishes could see below normal levels of rainfall. Also, during the period, temperatures are likely be higher than average over most areas.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the findings from the models in the upcoming months, so as to advise our stakeholders, especially farmers, accordingly.

To view our 3D drought maps use the following browsers with 3D plugin:

  1. Google Chrome or Mozilla Firefox
  2. Download and install Google Earth on your PC* 

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values 
 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)  0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile)

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile)

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)  0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness (70%tile) 0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile)

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile)

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile)

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more